1,232 hypotheses in, 15 proven — we publish the kill decisions.
An independent research operation. Every hypothesis that dies gets a dated page, the evidence, and the methodology that survives it. No live parameters, no signals, no advice.
Free: The Fill-Model Audit — 5 checks before you trust any backtest.The procedure that has killed more of our strategies than any market event. One afternoon, no signup.
Latest from the ledger
- The Second Blowup: Six Failure Modes the Audit Didn't EnumerateThe sim said $1.69M. Live said −$253.08 across 22 bars. Postmortem of the eebd-replica — six failure modes, five of them new — and the checklist v2 they bought.
- The $83 Mirage: Paper Said Profit, Live Was Dead in Eight MinutesPostmortem of a market-making bot whose paper simulator filtered out exactly the fills that killed it live — and the five-step fill-model audit that came out of the wreckage.
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